THE BALANCE POINT
If nobody ever braked.
- Steady speed
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- Bumper gap
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- Flow
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The speed at which every car is exactly content with its gap. The question is whether that balance survives a tap.
PREDICT FIRST
A JAM WITHOUT A ROADBLOCK
Twenty-two identical drivers. One circular road. Nobody crashes and no lane closes, yet a jam appears, and it drives backwards.
Tap any car to make it brake.
Each line is one car moving up the road over time. Red and orange bands are queues; watch them slide down the chart: the jam moves backwards while every car moves forwards.
WHAT’S HAPPENING
Press play to start the clock.
THE BALANCE POINT
The speed at which every car is exactly content with its gap. The question is whether that balance survives a tap.
PREDICT FIRST
TRY THIS
Every car runs the same rule, the Intelligent Driver Model. Each moment, a driver looks only at the car directly ahead: its gap and how fast it is closing. They accelerate towards their desired speed, but brake when the gap gets smaller than they want.
The desired gap is a 2 m jam distance plus speed × time gap, plus an extra margin when you are closing on the car ahead. That extra margin is the key: a driver who sees the car in front slow down brakes slightly harder than needed. Pass that overreaction down a line of cars and a gentle tap grows into a full stop.
The road is a 240 m loop, much like the 2008 experiment in Nagoya, Japan, where 22 real drivers circling a 230 m track produced a jam with no cause. On this loop, the jam has nowhere to escape, so you can watch it circle.
Model parameters here: jam distance 2 m, comfortable braking 1.8 m/s², car length 4.5 m, acceleration exponent 4.